Tottenham’s Relegation from Premier League 2025/2026: Predictions, Scenarios, Risks and Chances to Survive

Posted on: 05/11/2026

Tottenham Hotspur have moved out of the relegation zone with a comfortable cushion, while West Ham United are edging closer to the Championship. The fight for Premier League survival heats up as the season nears its climax.

Here’s the latest outlook on the relegation battle. We keep it updated – check back anytime for a quick refresher on the situation.

West Ham lost to Arsenal: Tottenham clear of the drop zone with a game in hand

In the 36th round, West Ham endured a tough match against league leaders Arsenal, conceding a goal in the 83rd minute to Leandro Trossard – 0-1. That defeat leaves them in the danger zone.

Tottenham, meanwhile, climbed out of the relegation zone after an unexpected win over Aston Villa a week ago. They now sit one point above West Ham and have a game in hand.

Tottenham also hold a significant advantage in goal difference, the first tiebreaker. So in the remaining matches, West Ham need not only to overcome the one-point gap but also to collect two more points than Spurs.

According to Opta, West Ham’s relegation probability now stands at 88%, while Tottenham’s is just 12% – a 10% drop from before that matchday. Bookmakers give similar odds.

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In recent weeks, Tottenham’s relegation risk has halved. Before beating Villa, it hovered around 50%. Now it has eased further.

Remaining fixtures: Who faces whom?

Tottenham have three matches left, West Ham only two.

Both teams will face Leeds United, who have already secured safety. West Ham also have to play Newcastle United, a mid-table side.

Tottenham will take on two current mid-table teams – Chelsea and Everton – both still fighting for European spots.

If Tottenham do end up being relegated from the Premier League after all, what would that mean? We analyzed it in detail on VideoSports.